Followers of the Tyneside club are more and more seeing the team's side as an unreliable companion. On their day, they transform into the ultimate life of the party, unleashing breathtaking performances. However, at other times, once-dependable figures like Sandro Tonali and others completely do not show up.
Exacerbating these problems is a second-half strategy laced with a distinct element of panic. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the numbers reveal a troubling story: the team has let slip 13 crucial Premier League leverage from leading positions this campaign and are yet to keep a shutout in ten straight matches across all competitions. Claiming a win at their famous stadium would be only their second-ever league triumph on the travel this year.
On the flip side, a loss has only come on one occasion in their most recent six Premier League fixtures, and although occupying a modest 11th place, they are a only 6 marks away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Factor in an upcoming two-legged Carabao Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a reasonable opportunity of advancing to the European Cup last 16, and it is simpler to appreciate the gaffer's guarded optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to issues,” said the team's head coach. “We have assets as well. My glass is very much optimistic at present. I understand outside observers could have a different take, but I feel we are improving.”
The challenge persists: will this group recapture – or even surpass – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying standing? Balancing a packed schedule makes this difficult.
This heavy-leggedness might be the reason behind the failure to maintain a superb first-half showing versus their London rivals, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it is possibly the reason for a poor display in a painful defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked off the pace just days after a demanding European away day.
Although on-field instruction is clearly the manager's specialty, the relentless schedule of twice-weekly football has drastically limited valuable training time. This slows the squad's tactical adaptation to playing with new striker their number nine up front, rather than the now departed Alexander Isak. While hugely skilled, the German forward has not shown the equivalent searing breakaway speed or relentless pressing.
In fact, the side's once-formidable high press has occasionally malfunctioned. Fitness issues to key component Joelinton have not helped, while big-money arrivals the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling since their big-money transfers.
While a move to a 3-5-2 might arguably help the team, a severe backline absence list makes that unlikely. First-choice defenders will be absent for the next key matches, further testing the squad's resources.
When playing at their ferocious peak, they appear virtually unstoppable. The problem is sustaining that fervor for the entire match. The go-to alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has at times been self-destructive.
“The Chelsea game became chaotic at two-all,” admitted the coach. “However we were trying to win. We always go out to secure the three points.”
What seems required is a middle ground – involving superior ball retention, a midfield adept of slowing the pace, and a realistic willingness to occasionally settle for a draw. However, a desire to compete on every competitions is stretching thin player numbers to their limit.
It may sound sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the current schedule congestion. With vital Champions League & league games on the horizon, the necessity to strategically choose focus areas is growing ever more apparent.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the size of the task remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the expectations are big. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have lots of improvement to do to become the regularly winning team we want to be. The ability to put winning runs has eluded us so far.
“The objective is to hit that standard we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the self-belief we can achieve it is growing. But now we have to show it. It ain't all bad in this moment, but the next few weeks will decide a great deal.”
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